Thursday, 3 December 2009

"Their shoulders held the sky suspended...

...they stood and earth's foundations stay..." A.E.Houseman wrote about an army of forgotten mercenaries. Although his sentiments are a little melodramatic, they are applicable and could also apply to 2 individuals who are changing our world as we watch. One is the anonymous northern hemisphere whistleblower who leaked the CRU information and data to us, the second is Australian Opposition leader Tony Abbott, whose ascendancy to political leadership over the climate change issue is being watched and debated worldwide. As Andrew Bolt observes in the Melbourne Herald Sun, Tony Abbott has...

... bought the Liberals time - the only thing left that could heal their bloody division over global warming.The Liberals can be healed if they see global warming not as a moral question, but a scientific and economic problem. And events will prove decisive in settling a difference of opinion on those. FIRST, if the world keeps failing to warm, the warming theory itself will crumble. Indeed, it's crumbling already. Rudd's belief that man is heating the world is based almost entirely on the reports of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But thousands of emails uncovered in this month's Climategate scandal show that the scientists most responsible for those reports did not just doctor data, destroy awkward evidence, and censor sceptical scientists. They also show some of them privately admitting that the world seems not to be heating as they (and Rudd) predicted.
"Where the heck is global warming?" raged Kevin Trenberth, an IPCC lead author, to another Climategate scientist: "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."
But time won't just settle this argument about whether the world is actually warming.
By next year the UN's Copenhagen summit will be well over and we'll also know then how serious other countries really are about cutting their emissions, too.
If the world's biggest emitters - such as China, the United States and India - keep refusing to agree to their own legally enforceable cuts in emissions, then tiny Australia going it alone will seem even more suicidally mad.
Of course, it cuts both ways. If the world resumes warming with a vengeance, and if the world's big emitters do indeed set real targets, then many sceptics will be forced to shut up.
So time will tell, and time will heal. Time is thus what the Liberals need most, along with a leader who would meanwhile rather die fighting than live crawling. With Abbott, the Liberals finally have both a cause to fight, and time to heal...
more here...

...I've said it before, but it's worth repeating. Mick Jagger was right. Time really is on our side...meanwhile Phil Jones has his collar felt...
...and, H/T Theo... Anyone need a new watch ? Buy a Rolex...

4 comments:

Nessa said...

Watching to see what time brings next.

Name That Christmas Song

Ayrdale said...

Disappointment from Copenhagen for the green left,and in 2010 a further slipping away of AGW in the public consciousness.

And of course, a merry Christmas !

Kaboom said...

Ayrdale,

It took 40 years before Piltdown Mann was finally perceived as a hoax.

Fortunately, the Internet (praise be to Al!) may reduce this time-lapse somewhat.

However, it will be 6 months before the enormity of the crimes are broadcast into the public psyche, and (at my guess) anywhere between 2 and 4 years before AGW dies its deserving death.

CarbonFooledYa said...

Awesome, Tony Abbott and Liberal just passed their first test. Despite the recent unprecedented turmoil in Liberal they retained two safe federal seats in a by-election in Bradfield and Higgins. In the wake of Climategate and the ensuing Liberal leadership change Labor blog commenters were bleating of the "demise of Liberal" etc. I was sceptical of this hubris (well I am a "sceptic" after all) and my hunch was right. Liberal retained the seats with flying colours.

The Greens had the media in their pockets but the electorate still didn't buy the spin. Australia doesn't accept bull after all! (Well, only half do - the stupid half!)