Thursday, 18 February 2010

The UK Met orifice...a man called Wayne Mapp...and the Pacific sea level...

...ever vigilant reader Butch (right) spotted this reference to a UK enthusiast (John Graham-Cumming) whose amateur sleuthing led to this glorious headline in the London Times... How I made the Met Office admit its climate-change data was wrong...

...Since my training is in mathematics and computing I thought it best to write self-checking code: I’m unfamiliar with the science of climate change and so having my program perform internal checks for consistency was vital to making sure I didn’t make a mistake.
To my surprise the program complained about average temperatures in Australia and New Zealand. At first I assumed I’d made a mistake in the code and used a pocket calculator to double check the calculations. The result was unequivocal: something was wrong with the average temperature data in Oceania. And I also stumbled upon other small errors in calculations. About a week after I’d told the Met Office about these problems I received a response confirming that I was correct: a problem in the process of updating Met Office records
had caused the wrong average temperatures to be reported...more here...

In the grand scheme of things - small potatoes, but for the UK Met. office another awful humiliation. After making absurdly confident and dramatically wrong predictions of BBQ summers and mild winters Met. office workers must be a shamefaced lot. "Well, what do you do for a crust then ? "I uhh, uhh work in the uhh Met. Office..."
...and with a deep H/T to PKH and WhaleOil...are you ready to read of obfuscation, disingenuity and Parliamentary chicanery here in NZ ? This exchange, written in Hansard is a series of straightforward and evaded Parliamentary questions re NIWA (our Met. office) to Mr Wayne Mapp, our Minister of Research, Sci­ence and Tech­nol­ogy. Read it and weep...

...and when the global warming alarmist hysteria was at its height, and the science was all settled, I posted about the ARGOS project; a worldwide network of buoys recording salinity, ocean temperature and sea levels. ARGOS and ongoing experiments, such as the CLOUD experiment at CERN, will answer many questions, provide comprehensive data and fill in some important gaps in climate science. With ARGOS data just in we learn that... (H/T The Hockey Schtick):

... The full 6 year dataset from January 31, 2004 to January 31, 2010 of the ARGO global network of 3198 free drifting ocean floats with GPS...is now available. Using the Pacific Marine Atlas program to plot data from the entire network shows a downtrend in Sea Height over the past six years (January 31, 2004 - January 31, 2010) using data from the entire network...The trendline shows the rate of global sea level decrease to be -.1mm/year or-10mm/century...more here...

This is already being labelled Oceangate, and could well be the last gate to shut the IPCC down. Read more here...This, I hope, is real science coming in, not just alarmist predictions from a poorly set up spreadsheet (ever been crazy enough - I have - to make an investment based on one ? ) and it is providing data that is killing alarmism. Such data hammers nail after nail into the climatastrophe coffin...Won't the worried people of greensleaze, and Prince Charles, Bono and the WWF and all the occupants of Tuvalu be so pleased !

...and with that I'm signing off. Posting will be intermittent and maybe even non-existent for 3 1/2 weeks, as I experience northern hemisphere (UK) global warming first hand. I'll be making full use of night clubs, bars, cosy rooms, internet cafes and getting to net access whenever and wherever I can, all the time keeping warm, dry and very well hydrated. Your comments (including details of crap investments made after consulting crappier spreadsheets) are as always, most welcome. Salut !

12 comments:

cbullitt said...

Re your comment at my place--do you want the Science and Public Policy Inst. filing against the EPA?
If you don't already have it, I can email you the pdf.

Ayrdale said...

Please do, rather than email ( I am away for 3 1/2 weeks from tomorrow,) can I just link straight to it ?

SNAKE HUNTERS said...

Hello Ayrdale!

We caught your comment on 'Woman Honor Thyself {post}. This is my
first posting to your part of the planet; I've seen the great trout fishing films!

Give us a shout when you have the time. Our best regards - reb
_________________________________

Ayrdale said...

Snake, we value your visit and contribution. Call again.

Ayrdale said...

Capitalism is bad for the planet. Socialism is good. It stands to reason, if we own the bank and the factory we'd keep them both running. N'est ce pas ?

Ron Russell said...

Very interesting my friend! The ocean leveling dropping---usually that means one thing, perhaps the onset of another ice age. I lived in Florida for many years on the Gulf coast and spent many hours diving in areas that were one above sea level. I often found many native american artifacts dating back to the paleo period of about 15,000B.P. to 10,000 B.P. Florida was a much larger area in those days and in some places the land reached out many miles from the present coast line. I'm not prepared for the next ice age, but then I expect to have many years to get ready,ha!

Ayrdale said...

Thanks Ron, an observation from the UK, no doubt stale now, but it looks like Pachauri will lose his job, and general confirmation that climate alarmism is a dead duck, and with its death the loss of the last green raison d'etre.

TheFatBigot said...

So, you're coming over here Mr Micky. To London? If so we must take a beverage. fatbigot-at-aol-dot-com.

Ayrdale said...

Mr FB, I would have loved that, and had hoped to meet with Butch (see posting before I left NZ) unfortunately had a major SNAFU with times and ended up en route to Sth Wales at 3.00am.

Thanks for the invitation though !

circus monkey said...

I can remember in my last years at school the geography teacher "threatening" us with another ice age - monkey school, that is!

mike said...

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Anonymous said...

Hey Mickey,
I have enjoyed lurking on your blog and appreciate all the work that you have put into it.

At the moment there are the "Nick Smith ETS meetings" that almost seem secretive, and I have been getting my "a into g", not that I am all computer literate.
I was wondering if it is OK to use your site a bit to spread more info of those meetings so others can catch up with what is happening.
I have done ocassional comments at Kiwiblog, last one being on "General Debate 15th June" at time of 'June 16th 2010 12.03 am'.

Maybe just to use this comment section or to set up a post.
I do not want to be a nuisance to you either as I figure some of these things take a lot of time and energy.
This just may last as long as we get info and can co-ordinate for these meetings and then stop.

I do not want to Hi jack or ruin your blog, as it is well set up and has a lot of good contacts and info.

Await a message on this blog. Tried other contacts ways but did not get thru.

If it will be a problem just tell me to B*&&^r off as soon as you can, or other quick ideas.

Regards Simpleton